Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?
0.7 pts (24h)ExchangeOne-OffSpaceTechEquitiesCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability↑$1.6T 100%+3.5ptLeader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
19 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$14.1K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-11.9 pts
Market data
Updated 26 days ago
StaleMay 19, 26, 4:36 AMJul 1, 26, 12:00 PM
Probability Timeline
↑$2.5T32%
↓$1.3T0%
↓$1.4T1%
↑$3.0T1%
↑$3.5T3%
↓$1.5T0%
↓$1.45T4%
↓$1.35T2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· ↑$1.6T
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $14.1K | $0 | 26 days ago | |
 Manifold Markets72% match · verified | — | 100% | — | — | — | 27 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
SpaceX highest valuation by end of June 2026
Closed
100%
100%
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+5 more outcomes
Community forecast40 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.