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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Exchange
  3. Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?
Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

0.2% (24h)ExchangeOne-OffSpaceTechEquitiesCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate20d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
↑$1.6T
↑$1.6T 100%+3.5%
Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$10.3K

Liquidity

$82K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

2.6% / 4.8%

Spread

84.6%

Wide spread
7d Change

+1.0%

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

May 19, 26, 5:09 AMJul 1, 26, 12:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

↑$1.75T96%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
  • If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026.
  • If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
  • If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.

Related Markets

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

$624.6
$2.0T-$2.5T: 48%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

SpaceX IPO day's closing market cap

$1.4K
<$750B: 0.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

$169.5
≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

$3.3K
Up: 53%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?

SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?

$21.3K
↑$150: 92%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX

$190.7
Under $3T: 1.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,601.64+1.73%EthereumETH$1,652.38+1.39%SolanaSOL$65.07+0.84%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.00%BNBBNB$595.43+1.28%XRPXRP$1.12-0.33%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
  • If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026.
  • If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
  • If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.