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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Space
  3. How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

0.2% (24h)One-OffSpace6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
140-159
140-159 58%-0.5%
Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$22K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.7% / 1.7%

Spread

142.9%

Wide spread
7d Change

+0.1%

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jan 16, 26, 5:49 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

140-15958%

KalshiAlso available on Kalshi

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

6mo
Above 140
Above 140
87%
Above 160
Above 160
+4.0%36%
Above 190
Above 190
14%

+5 more outcomes

49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$3.5K
24h Vol$15.7
KalshiKALSHI

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

Polymarket
  • If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
  • The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,682.54+2.38%EthereumETH$1,651.16+1.73%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.80%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.95%XRPXRP$1.12+0.49%BNBBNB$595.34+1.77%

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Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

Polymarket
  • If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
  • The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.