Selected book midpoint
Top 20 · —
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Stored reference
Top 20 28%Leader of 4 outcomes
Top 20 28%Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$5.5K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$3.3K
Bid / Ask
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Top 20Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Oct 28, 26, 9:53 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · Top 20
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Kimi K3.1 Pro: Text Arena Rank Debut?
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Manifold MarketsWhich model will have a higher ECI score end of November, Opus 5.5 or GPT-6 Astra?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next OpenAI GPT Astra model (6.1+) added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) holds a rank within the specified top ranks when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify.
- GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
