PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
$40+ 59%-14.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
$40+ 59%-14.0ptMarket quality
50 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$369
Liquidity
$1.5K
Low liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 24, 26, 8:55 AM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsHow low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) debuts at a standard output token price of at least the specified price, in USD per million tokens.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify.
- GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
