Current implied probability
0.4-0.7% 71%-2.5%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
2.5% / 12.0%
Spread
380.0%
Wide spread7d Change
+0.3%
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
May 4, 26, 3:43 PMJul 30, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
0.4-0.7%71%
Volume trend
$5Jul 220d of dataJul 25
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point.
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.