PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (94%)
Resolved: May 18, 2026, 8:31 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 94%+0.2pt
Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.9K
Liquidity
$808.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
3.8% / 8.5%
Spread
4.7 pt
Moderate spread7d Change
-48.4 pts
Market data
Updated 106 days ago
StaleFeb 6, 26, 7:02 PMMay 15, 26, 12:00 AM
94%
6%
Related Cryptos
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any fund with holdings of at least $250,000,000 US in $IBIT (https://www.blackrock.com/us/individual/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf), that forms a holdings allocation of 25% or greater in that asset, in either Q3 2025 or Q4 2025 shows holdings of $10,000,000 or less US in Q1 2026 on their 13F filing (https://www.sec.gov/submit-filings/forms-index) when that information is made public.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on information that is public as of May 15, 2026 ET.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the 13F for a specified company.
