Current implied probability
Yes 83%
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$11.8
Liquidity
$420.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
81.0% / 85.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 16, 26, 7:57 PM UTCSep 28, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExRules
As of market creation, Carnival is estimated to release earnings on September 28, 2026.
- The Street consensus estimate for Carnival’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.37 as of market creation.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Carnival reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.37 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
- If Carnival releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
- If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha.
Open markets
EquitiesLIMITLESSEQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes50%
- No50%
- Total Vol
- $195.7K
- 24h Vol
- $187.4K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.3pt25%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt19.8%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.7%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $865.2K
- 24h Vol
- $59.5K
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
LIMITLESSS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes69.5%
- No30.5%
- Total Vol
- $49.3K
- 24h Vol
- $49K
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 8,000 to 8,199.99+2.0pt17.7%
- 7,800 to 7,999.99-1.0pt15.9%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9913.3%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
LIMITLESSOccidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes50%
- No50%
- Total Vol
- $13.4K
- 24h Vol
- $12.1K
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
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- What will Dominos say during their next earnings call?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
- Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by December 31?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 83% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings? resolve?
- Will Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings? is scheduled to resolve on September 28, 2026.
- How is Will Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: As of market creation, Carnival is estimated to release earnings on September 28, 2026.