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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Society & Culture
  3. Canada's population Up or Down this year?
Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

1.0% (24h)YearlySociety & Culture10mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Up
Up 44%-0.0%
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$508.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

30.0% / 57.0%

Spread

90.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-6.0%

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Jan 27, 26, 10:31 PMApr 30, 27, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Up44%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
  • If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
  • If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
  • The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
  • Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
  • If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
  • If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
  • The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
  • Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market.