PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Down · —
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Stored reference
Down 83%
Down 83%Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$260.8
Low liquidityOpen interest
$642.9
Bid / Ask
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DownSpread
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Comments
2
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jan 27, 26, 10:29 PM UTCMay 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Down
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Canada's population declines in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBefore which quarters will Canada's population exceed 42 million?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
- If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market.