PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDown 81%+0.0pt
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$337.9
Low liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 33.0%
Spread
28.0 pt
Wide spread7d Change
-9.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jan 27, 26, 10:29 PMApr 30, 27, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Up19%
Volume trend
$7Jul 98d of dataJul 27
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Rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
- If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market.