Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Before Q2 2027 14.6%Leader of 11 outcomes
Before Q2 2027 14.6%Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleNov 23, 24, 3:11 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Canada's population declines in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketRules
This will resolve based on Statistics Canada's quarterly population estimates.
- Estimates indicate the estimated population on the first day of the quarter, so if the estimate for Q4 2025 is greater than 42 million, then the entry for "the named outcome" will be presumed to be resolve YES (and each later entry likewise).
