Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Before Q2 2027 10%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleNov 23, 24, 3:11 PM UTCSep 26, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Canada's population Up or Down this year?
PolymarketWill the US population exceed 500 million by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill the human population exceed 9 billion by the year 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill West Virginia's population grow in 2026?
KalshiWill there be a signifikant growth of greenlands population after Trump offers money to each inhabitant?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketRules
This will resolve based on Statistics Canada's quarterly population estimates.
- Estimates indicate the estimated population on the first day of the quarter, so if the estimate for Q4 2025 is greater than 42 million, then the entry for "the named outcome" will be presumed to be resolve YES (and each later entry likewise).
Open markets
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt44.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt29.7%
- <40-7.0pt13.9%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.5K
- 24h Vol
- $29.4K
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Hurricane89%
- Canada / Canadian89%
- Renoir84%
+13 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $9K
- 24h Vol
- $9K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Total Vol
- $7.9K
- 24h Vol
- $6.7K
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Total Vol
- $21.1K
- 24h Vol
- $1.2K
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Total Vol
- $17.9K
- 24h Vol
- $1.1K
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Total Vol
- $158.3K
- 24h Vol
- $287.1
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Before which quarters will Canada's population exceed 42 million??
- Manifold Markets prices Before Q2 2027 at 10% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Before which quarters will Canada's population exceed 42 million? resolve?
- Before which quarters will Canada's population exceed 42 million? is scheduled to resolve on September 26, 2026.
- How is Before which quarters will Canada's population exceed 42 million? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This will resolve based on Statistics Canada's quarterly population estimates.