PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 98%-0.3pt
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
96.2% / 99.0%
Spread
2.8 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 12:11 AM UTCSep 9, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone at its September 2026 event?
Manifold Markets📱 Will Apple announce a U.S. starting price of at least $2,400 for its foldable iPhone at its September 9 event?
Manifold MarketsFoldable iPhone Announced Price?
PolymarketName of Foldable iPhone
Manifold MarketsFoldable iPhone Announced Price?
LimitlessWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase.
- Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify.
- Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
- Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
