Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth October 2026
ExchangeOne-OffTechEquitiesCorporate ActionsRegulationBusiness & CorporateAI21d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Anthropic · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
Anthropic 52%
Anthropic 52%Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$120
Liquidity
$94.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
AnthropicSpread
—
Comments
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Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Oct 7, 26, 11:42 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · Anthropic
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger percentage increase in private market valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM), from the last trading day prior to the specified month (starting valuation) to last trading day of the specified month (ending valuation).
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specified month.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest available data.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
- If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified month, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date.
