This market resolved: Lara Bird (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
Lara Bird 100%+4.4ptLeader of 20 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
97.8% / 100.0%
Spread
2.2 pt
Moderate spread7d Change
+14.4 pts
Market data
Updated 37 days ago
StaleJun 9, 26, 11:02 PMJun 19, 26, 3:59 AM
Probability Timeline
Jack Cruickshanks1%
Tanvir Ahmad2%
Bill Reid1%
Lara Bird100%
Heather Doran1%
Person A0%
Person D0%
Person I0%
Person K0%
Person M0%
Person C0%
Person F0%
Person G0%
Person J0%
Other0%
Person B0%
Person E0%
Person H0%
Person L0%
Person N0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Lara Bird
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Smarkets
Arbroath & Broughty Ferry By-Election - Winner
Closed
96.2%
0 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
SMARKETS
Also available on Kalshi
Arbroath & Broughty Ferry by-election winner
Closed
Resolved
SNP (99%)
+5.0pt84.6%
12.8%
0.8%
+2 more outcomes
15 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$11.9K
24h Vol$4.2K
KALSHIRules
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Arbroath and Broughty Ferry is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election.
- If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Arbroath and Broughty Ferry is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election.
- If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).