Current implied probability
No 72.5%+3.8pt
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$41.3
Liquidity
$700
Low liquidityTraders
57
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Mar 11, 26, 4:03 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 12:01 AM UTC
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
KalshiWhich cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?
KalshiETH at three digits when Bitcoin goes below 50K?
MyriadBy 2030 will the most-used cryptocurrency have none of the highly criticised flaws of those popular in 2024?
Manifold MarketsWill any cryptocurrency (other than Bitcoin) surpass the market cap of Ethereum in 2026?
FutuurWhich of bitcoin and Ethereum have the worst 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
### **Market Details:**
- - **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached. - **Observation Period:** From the minute candle the Conditional BTC Target is hit on the resolution source until exactly 48 hours later. - **Resolution Time:** 48 hours after the Conditional BTC Target is met or before during the Observation Period if the ETH Market Target is reached. - **Conditional BTC Target:** $100,000.00 - **ETH Market Target**: $4,000.00
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - The market resolves to “**Yes**” if ETH/USDT is at or above the ETH Market Target at any point during the Observation Period. - The market resolves to “**No**” if ETH/USD is below the ETH Market Target during the entire Observation Period.
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- The market resolves based on the Binance ETH/USDT and BTC/USDT spot price, using the 1-minute chart with the following specifications:
