Will Virginia Question 2 (removing same-sex marriage ban) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
RegulationOne-OffPoliticsElection22dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 94.5%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleOct 6, 26, 6:52 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
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Rules
This market resolves YES if Virginia Question 2 (Should the Constitution of Virginia be amended to (i) remove the ban on same-sex marriage; (ii) affirm that two adults may marry regardless of sex, gender, or race; and (iii) require all legally valid marriages to be treated equally under the law?) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Majority of those voting on the amendment (Va.
- XII, sec. 1).
- Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not.
- YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.
- What the votes mean (official summary):
