Current community forecast
No 58.4%
No 58.4%Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleFeb 13, 24, 11:26 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be more than 10GW of off-earth solar power generation by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 100 GW of solar power on the Moon before there is 100 GW of solar power in orbit?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada have at least 1GW of space to ground power transmission before 2046?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWill 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before a human walks on the Moon again?
Manifold MarketsRules
This would be for an average, not peak, so after accounting for intermittency.
- Credible estimates will be accepted as source to resolve YES.
- Solar power does not have to be beamed back, power is counted after conversion to electricity, but before use
