Will there be a serious neo-Luddite movement (complete with major organizations and funding topping ~$1 Million USD) by 2030?
One-OffSociety & Culture3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:28 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 72.7%
Forecasters
44
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleFeb 3, 23, 5:37 PM UTCJan 3, 30, 6:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves "Yes" if multiple organizations that identify explicitly as Neo-Luddite crop up by 2030 and amass funding in total that amounts to $1 million USD.
