Will there be 100 million famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032?
One-OffSociety & CultureHealth & Medicine6y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 84.6%
Forecasters
32
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleJan 1, 23, 5:15 AM UTCDec 31, 32, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be 1 billion famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill the decade from 2020 through the end of 2029 become known as the "Warring Twenties"?
Manifold MarketsWhich will be the first year the USA has less than 15k traffic deaths? (42k in 2024)
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketRules
In 2022-Dec Peter Zeihan claims in a presentation that lots of people will die from famine soon.
- Resolves "Yes" if at the end of 2032, there is credible reporting or data, showing that 100 million people died from famine during the decade from 2023-Jan to 2032-Dec, inclusively.
- This market is partly an open "bet" with @Bioliberalism, and I will be placing trades on this market.
- Click here for a 1bn deaths version of this question.
Open markets
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $35.8K
- 24h Vol
- $20.9K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Total Vol
- $10.2K
- 24h Vol
- $9K
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Total Vol
- $17.9K
- 24h Vol
- $1.1K
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Total Vol
- $600
- 24h Vol
- $600
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Total Vol
- $600
- 24h Vol
- $600
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Total Vol
- $158.5K
- 24h Vol
- $487.1
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be 100 million famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will there be 100 million famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032? resolve?
- Will there be 100 million famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2032.
- How is Will there be 100 million famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: In 2022-Dec Peter Zeihan claims in a presentation that lots of people will die from famine soon.