Will there be 100 million famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032?
One-OffSociety & CultureHealth & Medicine6yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 84.6%
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32
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binary
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Updated 16 minutes ago
Jan 1, 23, 5:15 AM UTCDec 31, 32, 11:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
In 2022-Dec Peter Zeihan claims in a presentation that lots of people will die from famine soon.
- Resolves "Yes" if at the end of 2032, there is credible reporting or data, showing that 100 million people died from famine during the decade from 2023-Jan to 2032-Dec, inclusively.
- This market is partly an open "bet" with @Bioliberalism, and I will be placing trades on this market.
- Click here for a 1bn deaths version of this question.
