Will there be 1 billion famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032?
One-OffSociety & Culture6yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.1%
Forecasters
25
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleDec 29, 22, 3:36 AM UTCDec 31, 32, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Peter Zeihan claims in a presentation in 2022-Dec:
- "Starting some time next year, we are going to have food shortages that are multi-continential.
- And they are probably going to expand to the point that we are going to lose a billion people over the next decade.
- The supply chain system just takes too long to adapt."
- Will we see this?
- Resolves "Yes" if at the end of 2032, there is credible reporting or data, showing that 1 billion people died from famine during the decade from 2023-Jan to 2032-Dec, inclusively.
