Were there less than 7 billion people in the world on January 11, 2026? [resolves to 2027 poll]
One-OffSociety & Culture3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.2%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJan 11, 26, 7:51 PM UTCFeb 2, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Shortly after market close, I will create a Manifold poll, open for a week, on the question "Were there less than 7 billion people in the world on January 11, 2026?" with the answers "Yes", "No", and "Not sure/see results".
- If there are more Yes answers than No answers, this market resolves YES.
- If there are more No answers than Yes answers, this market resolves NO.
- A tie resolves 50/50.
