Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.6%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleMar 30, 24, 9:17 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What year will the next Star Trek movie be released?
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PolymarketPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRules
The three most recent Star Trek movies, Star Trek (2009), Star Trek into Darkness and Star Trek Beyond have all been set in an alternate timeline, revisiting the TOS era with new actors.
- Will that be the case for the next Star Trek film released?
- Criteria that may make this resolve YES:
- Set in TOS era
- Features Chris Pine, Zachary Quinto, Karl Urban, Zoe Saldana, Simon Pegg, or John Cho reprising previous roles.
- Clearly stated to be part of Kelvin timeline in marketing / promotional materials.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
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- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the next Star Trek movie be set in the Kelvin timeline??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the next Star Trek movie be set in the Kelvin timeline? resolve?
- Will the next Star Trek movie be set in the Kelvin timeline? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will the next Star Trek movie be set in the Kelvin timeline? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The three most recent Star Trek movies, Star Trek (2009), Star Trek into Darkness and Star Trek Beyond have all been set in an alternate timeline, revisiting the TOS era with new actors.