Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (95.9%)
Resolved: Oct 12, 2026, 2:31 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:28 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Yes95.9%
No4.099999999999994%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiMissouri enacts data center moratorium by which date?
PolymarketIndiana enacts data center moratorium by which date?
PolymarketLouisiana enacts data center moratorium by which date?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiRules
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2023/08/08/age-law-online-porn-00110148
- "Vera Eidelman, ACLU’s senior staff attorney on its Speech, Privacy, and Technology Project, told me she thinks the laws are obviously unconstitutional."
- "Lawsuits have been filed by the porn industry’s trade association, the Free Speech Coalition, against Utah and Louisiana, but in the meantime, porn companies have had no choice but to comply with the laws."
- Open to suggestions to resolution criteria.
- I'm hoping it is pretty clear, but I don't usually follow legal stuff.
- If most of them survive but a few are removed due to state-level constitutions or something then I think this should resolve as YES.