Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 98.2%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleOct 31, 26, 2:44 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Elder Scrolls VI be released?
KalshiElder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
PolymarketWill Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bethesda publicly announce a release date for The Elder Scrolls VI before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsAny one of Half Life 3, the Winds of Winter, or Elder Scrolls 6 announced before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill The Elder Scrolls 6 release before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Bethesda or Microsoft officially announces or publishes the full title of the next mainline The Elder Scrolls game (commonly referred to as The Elder Scrolls VI), and that official title contains the standalone word "Sentinel" (case-insensitive, e.g., The Elder Scrolls VI: Sentinel).
- This market resolves to NO if:
- Bethesda Softworks or Microsoft officially reveals an official title that does not include the word "Sentinel".
- No official title announcement is made by Bethesda Softworks or Microsoft by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM PT.
- Official sources of truth include announcements on Bethesda.net, the official Bethesda YouTube channel, Xbox Wire, or direct official Bethesda/Xbox social media communications.