What are the current odds for Will the nature of dark matter be known by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 89.9% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Will the nature of dark matter be known by 2030? resolve?

Will the nature of dark matter be known by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 89.9%

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Updated 1 hour ago

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Jan 2, 24, 9:00 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 5:59 AM UTC

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A clear discrepancy arises in measuring the mass of galaxies when measuring only the mass of visible matter.

The accelerating expansion of the universe requires that dark energy and dark matter, in some form, must exist.
A thorough explanation of what properties are attributed to dark matter and dark energy are present here: https://science.nasa.gov/astrophysics/focus-areas/what-is-dark-energy/
What Is Dark Matter?
By fitting a theoretical model of the composition of the universe to the combined set of cosmological observations, scientists have come up with the composition that we described above, ~68% dark energy, ~27% dark matter, ~5% normal matter.
We are much more certain what dark matter is not than we are what it is.