Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 21, 2026, 6:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 53.4%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleMay 27, 24, 8:36 AMMar 3, 35, 9:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes47%
Volume trend
$84Jul 134d of dataJul 21
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