Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (90.6%)
Resolved: Oct 24, 2026, 9:32 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
36%
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes9.4%
No90.6%
Won
Lost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves N/A if Apple does not release a folding iPhone, or if JerryRigEverything does not bend test it for whatever reason, before resolution date
- I am borrowing the YES criteria from @SirSalty's earlier market: (@/SirSalty/will-the-iphone-air-survive-jerryri )
- To count as surviving it should:
- -Have no cracks in the glass on the front or back
- -have no permanent changes to the shape of the frame
- -screen still turns on, touch and all features still work.