Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 24, 2026, 12:24 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 99.3%
Forecasters
34
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 32 days ago
StaleOct 17, 23, 11:18 PMJan 1, 27, 6:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes99%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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