Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 84.9%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 12, 26, 3:28 PM UTCOct 14, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if the official closing value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) on Wednesday, October 14, 2026 is strictly above 51,000.00.
- Resolves NO if it closes at or below 51,000.00.
- Source: FRED series DJIA / S&P Dow Jones Indices, with Yahoo Finance (^DJI) as a secondary reference.
- If markets are closed that day, resolves using the last official close before it.
- Last known close before creation: 51,654.95 (Oct 9, 2026).