Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 83.1%
Forecasters
81
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleJun 6, 23, 12:13 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 2:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketRules
[tweet]In a arbitrary weekday in 2027, me or a trusted person comissioned by myself, will talk a walk from the Central Park (Columbus Circus) through Broadway and the Times Square to the 34st Herald Square subway station.
- I'll be paying attention to the people in the streets.
- It is a 26min walking in the busyest city in the world.
- If I see at least two people wearing Apple-made AR/VR headsets (covering their eyes), I'll resolve this market to YES.
- If I don't see, I'll resolve to NO.
- I'll try to document, but it can be hard.
