Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 72.8%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 35 minutes ago
Feb 5, 24, 10:11 PM UTCJan 2, 28, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Someone dies wearing Apple Vision Pro
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KalshiRules
Resolves Yes if credible media reports comes out of a person crashing a car while wearing Apple Vision Pro.
- They must be wearing it at the time of the accident, and must be the one driving.
- Resolves No if this doesn't happen by 2028.