Will the 2026 Nobel Prize in Literature go to a writer who writes mainly in English?
One-OffAwardsEntertainmentManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (42.4%)
Resolved: Oct 8, 2026, 12:48 PM
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if the 2026 Nobel Prize in Literature, announced by the Swedish Academy on 8 October 2026, is awarded to a writer whose principal literary works are written in English.
- Resolves NO if the laureate writes mainly in another language.
- "Mainly" is judged by the language of the laureate's principal works as listed on the laureate's page at nobelprize.org.
- If the prize is shared, it resolves YES if any laureate writes mainly in English.
- If no prize is awarded in 2026, it resolves NO.
- Recent English-language laureates include Bob Dylan (2016), Kazuo Ishiguro (2017), Louise Glück (2020) and Abdulrazak Gurnah (2021).
