Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 71%
Forecasters
67
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleOct 1, 22, 2:00 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030?
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PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketRules
Related Markets
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/grid/will-the-tesla-bot-be-available-by/will-tesla-sell-more-than-one-milli)
Open markets
Tech
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+77 more outcomes
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- 200-219-10.0pt12.4%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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- $69,000 or above99%
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+47 more outcomes
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- 40-64+39.3pt96%
- 65-89-29.7pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 more outcomes
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- Before April 2027+3.0pt71.2%
- Before March 202717.1%
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+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- Anthropic89.9%
- OpenAI-1.5pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Tesla sell >$1B of humanoid robots by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 71% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Tesla sell >$1B of humanoid robots by 2030? resolve?
- Will Tesla sell >$1B of humanoid robots by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will Tesla sell >$1B of humanoid robots by 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Related Markets