Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 71%
Forecasters
67
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleOct 1, 22, 2:00 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Tesla sell >1M humanoid robots by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich Company will be the first to sell 100.000 humanoid robots capable of household tasks?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla sell 100 million humanoid robots before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
PolymarketBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiRules
Related Markets
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/grid/will-the-tesla-bot-be-available-by/will-tesla-sell-more-than-one-milli)