Current implied probability
No 83.2%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$170.2
Liquidity
$2.2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
15.0% / 18.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
15
7d Change
+5.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Feb 18, 26, 1:10 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla sells at least one Cybercab vehicle to a qualifying retail customer for a base purchase price of $30,000 USD or less by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- “Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
- A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms.
- Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
- The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 83% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? resolve?
- Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla sells at least one Cybercab vehicle to a qualifying retail customer for a base purchase price of $30,000 USD or less by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.