Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 94%
No 94%Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$469.4
Liquidity
$2.3K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$18K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
15
7d Change
-7.5 pts
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Feb 18, 26, 1:10 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Tesla sell Optimus robots to the public by the end of 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla sells at least one Cybercab vehicle to a qualifying retail customer for a base purchase price of $30,000 USD or less by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- “Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
- A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms.
- Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
- The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives.
