Will Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before the end of 2028?
TechOne-OffEquitiesBusiness & Corporate2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 84.2%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMar 9, 25, 10:36 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before 2030?
Manifold MarketsBitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRules
This question will use CompaniesMarketCap.com's automaker list for what counts as an automaker and for market capitalization.
- If Tesla is dethroned from rank 1 on this list for any amount of time before the end of 2028, this question resolves YES.
- If for whatever reason I can't use this source to adjudicate the question, I will use credible alternatives sources.
- @/cash/will-tesla-cease-to-be-the-most-val-gA5ySC6LNy
- @/cash/will-tesla-cease-to-be-the-most-val-R95yU2IgOp (this question)
- @/cash/will-tesla-cease-to-be-the-most-val-l8A5QE6E90
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before the end of 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 84% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before the end of 2028? resolve?
- Will Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before the end of 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
- How is Will Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before the end of 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question will use CompaniesMarketCap.com's automaker list for what counts as an automaker and for market capitalization.