Will Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before 2030?
TechOne-OffEquitiesBusiness & Corporate3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 51.5%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Mar 9, 25, 10:37 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This question will use CompaniesMarketCap.com's automaker list for what counts as an automaker and for market capitalization.
- If Tesla is dethroned from rank 1 on this list for any amount of time before 2030, this question resolves YES.
- If for whatever reason I can't use this source to adjudicate the question, I will use credible alternatives sources.
- @/cash/will-tesla-cease-to-be-the-most-val-gA5ySC6LNy (this question)
- @/cash/will-tesla-cease-to-be-the-most-val-R95yU2IgOp
- @/cash/will-tesla-cease-to-be-the-most-val-l8A5QE6E90
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 52% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before 2030? resolve?
- Will Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question will use CompaniesMarketCap.com's automaker list for what counts as an automaker and for market capitalization.