Will same-sex marriage be banned in any country that has currently legalized it, before 2030?
One-OffSociety & CulturePolitics3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 78%
Forecasters
35
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 1, 23, 11:09 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PredictItRules
Must qualify in such a way that a country that is or currently would be dark blue on this Wikipedia map would become red on this map.
- A simple loss of protections does not qualify for the purposes of this question; it must be an inversion from legal to banned.
- Part of a series:
- @/Stralor/will-samesex-marriage-be-newly-lega
- @/Stralor/will-samesex-marriage-be-newly-lega-858e77296c28
- @/Stralor/will-samesex-marriage-be-newly-lega-5b38955218aa
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will same-sex marriage be banned in any country that has currently legalized it, before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 78% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will same-sex marriage be banned in any country that has currently legalized it, before 2030? resolve?
- Will same-sex marriage be banned in any country that has currently legalized it, before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will same-sex marriage be banned in any country that has currently legalized it, before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Must qualify in such a way that a country that is or currently would be dark blue on this Wikipedia map would become red on this map.