Will Prince Harry appear on the balcony of Buckingham Palace before Jan. 1, 2027?
One-OffSociety & CulturePolitics2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.5%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMay 16, 25, 3:04 AM UTCDec 1, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Harry, Duke of Sussex, appears on the balcony of Buckingham Palace at any time before January 1, 2027.
- An appearance is defined as Prince Harry being physically present on the balcony during a public event, with photographic or video evidence published by reputable media outlets.
- If no such appearance occurs by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No".
- Prince Harry has traditionally appeared on the Buckingham Palace balcony during significant royal events, such as Trooping the Colour.
- However, since stepping back from his role as a senior working royal in 2020, his participation in such events has been limited.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Prince Harry appear on the balcony of Buckingham Palace before Jan. 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Prince Harry appear on the balcony of Buckingham Palace before Jan. 1, 2027? resolve?
- Will Prince Harry appear on the balcony of Buckingham Palace before Jan. 1, 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 1, 2026.
- How is Will Prince Harry appear on the balcony of Buckingham Palace before Jan. 1, 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria