Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 67.3%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleJul 3, 26, 2:54 PM UTCJan 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsOscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
PolymarketOscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
PolymarketOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiRules
This market may close before nominations are announced.
Open markets
AwardsPOLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-0.7pt61.8%
- Lamine Yamal+0.2pt14.7%
- Kylian Mbappé+0.1pt10.8%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.5M
- 24h Vol
- $493K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN+2.0pt17%
- AMAN11%
- CCAR10%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $136.8K
KALSHIThe Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI-1.0pt64%
- Resident Evil Requiem-2.0pt10.8%
- Control Resonant7.2%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2M
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- Harry Kane+0.6pt94%
- Lamine Yamal-8.5pt77%
- Kylian Mbappé+4.0pt62%
+28 more outcomes
GEMINIWho will win the Ballon d'Or this year?
- Harry Kane63.5%
- Lamine Yamal15.5%
- Kylian Mbappe12.5%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $125.3K
- 24h Vol
- $4.2K
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
- Olivia Rodrigo-4.0pt62.1%
- twenty one pilots+5.0pt14.7%
- Noah Kahan9.5%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.4K
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Latin
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
- MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
- MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best New Artist
- 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host
- MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Collaboration
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Country
- Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
- Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 67% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture? resolve?
- Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture? is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2027.
- How is Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market may close before nominations are announced.