Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 71.1%
Forecasters
35
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleApr 5, 26, 7:20 PM UTCJan 20, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market may close before nominations are announced.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "YES" if Ryan Gosling is officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards (Oscars 2027), honoring films released in 2026.
- It will resolve to "NO" otherwise.
- The official list of nominees will be determined by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.
- Resolution will be based on the official announcement published on the Academy's website at https://www.oscars.org/ or reliable news outlets reporting the official nomination list.
Open markets
AwardsPOLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-0.6pt62.4%
- Lamine Yamal-0.3pt13.9%
- Kylian Mbappé+3.5pt10.9%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.3M
- 24h Vol
- $371.5K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN+1.0pt15%
- AMAN+1.0pt11%
- CCAR-2.0pt10%
+28 more outcomes
KALSHIThe Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI-1.0pt63.1%
- Resident Evil Requiem+1.0pt11.7%
- Control Resonant7.2%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2M
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- Harry Kane-0.3pt94%
- Lamine Yamal-8.0pt77%
- Kylian Mbappé-9.0pt59%
+28 more outcomes
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
- BTS+2.0pt75%
- LISA+7.0pt11.7%
- BLACKPINK5.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $43.4K
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
- Olivia Rodrigo-4.0pt61%
- twenty one pilots+7.0pt16.1%
- Noah Kahan-6.0pt9.3%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $32.8K
- MTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Latin
- Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Collaboration
- MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Country
- MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
- MTV Video Music Awards: Artist of The Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best R&B
- 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Art Direction
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at Oscars 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 71% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at Oscars 2027? resolve?
- Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at Oscars 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2027.
- How is Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at Oscars 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market may close before nominations are announced.