Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 56%
Forecasters
44
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleApr 5, 26, 7:20 PM UTCJan 20, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Matt Damon be nominated for best actor at the Oscars for Odysseus?
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Manifold MarketsOscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
PolymarketOscar Winner: Best Actor
KalshiRules
This market may close before nominations are announced.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "YES" if Ryan Gosling is officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards (Oscars 2027), honoring films released in 2026.
- It will resolve to "NO" otherwise.
- The official list of nominees will be determined by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.
- Resolution will be based on the official announcement published on the Academy's website at https://www.oscars.org/ or reliable news outlets reporting the official nomination list.
