Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 79.2%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 55 minutes ago
LaggingJul 13, 26, 1:34 AM UTCJan 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner
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Manifold MarketsWill Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at Oscars 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill "The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 2027 Academy Award
Manifold MarketsGolden Globe Nominations: Best Director
KalshiOscar Winner: Best Director
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
AwardsPOLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-1.2pt53.9%
- Lamine Yamal-0.8pt22.6%
- Kylian Mbappé-1.1pt7.8%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $37.3M
- 24h Vol
- $187.8K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN19%
- JSMI-2.0pt13%
- MTON+1.0pt11%
+28 more outcomes
KALSHIToronto International Film Festival: People's Choice Award
- The Debut-1.0pt26.4%
- I Play Rocky+1.0pt16.4%
- La bola negra11.8%
+13 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $177.7K
KALSHIThe Game Awards: Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI-2.0pt64.5%
- Resident Evil Requiem-4.0pt10.9%
- Phantom Blade Zero-1.0pt4.5%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIGolden Globe Nominations: Best Director
- Christopher Nolan100%
- Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo0%
- Martin McDonagh0%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.1K
- 24h Vol
- $5.1K
POLYMARKETCMA Vocal Duo of the Year 2026
- Brooks & Dunn+7.0pt67.7%
- Brothers Osborne17.2%
- Thelma & James-2.0pt9.1%
+2 more outcomes
- Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- Game Awards: Best Independent Game
- MTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
- Game Awards: Best Mobile Game
- Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
- VMA Video of the Year 2026
- Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?
- CMA Vocal Group of the Year 2026
- MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
- VMA Best Country 2026
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Latin
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will The Invite be nominated for best director for Olivia Wilde??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 79% as of September 19, 2026.
- When does Will The Invite be nominated for best director for Olivia Wilde? resolve?
- Will The Invite be nominated for best director for Olivia Wilde? is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2027.