Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88.5%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleJun 23, 23, 12:36 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if strong evidence comes out that Neil deGrasse Tyson went vegan, for any reason, before 2030.
- An example of strong evidence is him announcing it publicly.
- More specific criteria:
- He has to be vegan for at least 30 days continuously.
- The 30th day must be before 2030.
- I'm only counting eating foods that are typically considered vegan, not additional things like avoiding leather or animal-tested cosmetics.