Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 98.9%
Forecasters
45
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 27 minutes ago
Jan 27, 24, 4:19 AM UTCJan 2, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES:
- There is a successful manned NASA landing on the moon by January 1st 2027.
- There is no attempted landing, or an attempted landing leads to the death of an astronaut.