Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 52.4%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleSep 18, 26, 11:15 PM UTCNov 19, 26, 12:13 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
will my friend saúl come out of the closet by 2026?
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KalshiRules
they’re long distance btw
Open markets
Society & CultureKALSHIWhat will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
- Above 4.1 million94%
- Above 4.2 million91%
- Above 4.3 million-2.0pt59%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $46K
- 24h Vol
- $3.6K
KALSHIWill the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-3.0pt7%
- Total Vol
- $10.8K
- 24h Vol
- $2.2K
KALSHIMaine lobster landings in 2026
- Above 55 million pounds94%
- Above 65 million pounds84%
- Above 70 million pounds66%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18.4K
- 24h Vol
- $588.5
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-1.5pt74%
- Yes+1.5pt26%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $422.1
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- Significant decrease+21.0pt62.6%
- No significant difference-5.0pt29.9%
- Significant increase-11.0pt7.5%
- Total Vol
- $58.7K
KALSHINew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
- Above 1.7 million96%
- Above 1.8 million92%
- Above 1.9 million+1.0pt90%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $32K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will my friend get back with his ex despite saying he wouldn’t??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 52% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will my friend get back with his ex despite saying he wouldn’t? resolve?
- Will my friend get back with his ex despite saying he wouldn’t? is scheduled to resolve on November 19, 2026.
- How is Will my friend get back with his ex despite saying he wouldn’t? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: they’re long distance btw