Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
TechOne-Off2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.6%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jan 8, 25, 2:50 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
Background: WhatsApp, owned by Meta, currently uses end-to-end encryption for all messages, meaning only the sender and recipient can read message contents.
- While WhatsApp can and does share certain metadata with law enforcement, they cannot access the actual content of encrypted messages in the current version of the Whatsapp software.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if, before January 20, 2029, one of the listed Internet news sites reports that Meta has provided the content of at least one WhatsApp message to a US law enforcement agency. "Content" refers to the actual text, images, videos, or other media sent in messages, not to metadata such as user names, IP addresses, or timestamps.
- Internet news sites: 404 Media, Ars Technica, Business Insider, The Markup, ProPublica, The Register, TechCrunch, The Verge.