Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87.2%
Forecasters
31
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Feb 4, 24, 5:45 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
It has to be published and available for every average user in the US.
- It has to feature at least some kind of 3D or 360° interface.
- Simply adding the current app with the existing UI would not lead to a resolution of YES for this question.
- If there is no such app available until January 1st, 2030, 0:00 PST, this question will resolve as NO.
- The question will immediately resolve as YES if Manifold publishes an app.
- A demolition of the app will not affect the resolution of this question.