Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 87.2%
Forecasters
31
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 52 minutes ago
LaggingFeb 4, 24, 5:45 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
PolymarketSomeone Crashes A Car Wearing Apple Vision Pro
Manifold MarketsWill people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketRules
It has to be published and available for every average user in the US.
- It has to feature at least some kind of 3D or 360° interface.
- Simply adding the current app with the existing UI would not lead to a resolution of YES for this question.
- If there is no such app available until January 1st, 2030, 0:00 PST, this question will resolve as NO.
- The question will immediately resolve as YES if Manifold publishes an app.
- A demolition of the app will not affect the resolution of this question.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Manifold develop an app for the Apple Vision Pro by EOY 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 87% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Manifold develop an app for the Apple Vision Pro by EOY 2029? resolve?
- Will Manifold develop an app for the Apple Vision Pro by EOY 2029? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will Manifold develop an app for the Apple Vision Pro by EOY 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: It has to be published and available for every average user in the US.