Will Apple release a cheap Vision Pro before they release a “soundbar”?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Apple release a cheap Vision Pro before they release a “soundbar”??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 76.1% as of November 2, 2026.

When does Will Apple release a cheap Vision Pro before they release a “soundbar”? resolve?

Will Apple release a cheap Vision Pro before they release a “soundbar”? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2030.

How is Will Apple release a cheap Vision Pro before they release a “soundbar”? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question was inspired by a wager made in the Vergecast episode “Sonos loses to Google, and Threads takes on Twitter” at around the 1:03:30 timestamp.

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KALSHI

BTC price on Nov 2, 2026 at 5pm EST?

• $74,750 or above99.5%
• $75,500 or above98.5%
• $73,750 or above99.5%

+77 more outcomes

Total Vol

$505.5K

24h Vol

$505K

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?

• 400-419+12.6pt29%
• 420-439+3.8pt21%
• 380-399+5.5pt20%

+27 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?

• 90-114+35.0pt77.5%
• 115-139-1.5pt20.6%
• 140-164-5.9pt2%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

BTC price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5pm EST?

• $67,500 or above98%
• $65,500 or above98.5%
• $66,500 or above+1.0pt97.5%

KALSHI

BTC price on Nov 2, 2026 at 4am EST?

• $77,800 or above98.5%
• $77,700 or above99.5%
• $77,600 or above99.5%

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Nov 1, 2026?

• 71° or above+44.0pt99.5%
• 69° to 70°-43.0pt0.5%
• 67° to 68°-3.0pt

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