Will Lynas LAMP NdPr oxide production exceed 3500 tonnes NdPr oxide on June 30, 2026?
ChinaOne-OffCommoditiesBusiness & CorporateManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (96.2%)
Resolved: Aug 18, 2026, 12:53 AM
Provider-verified resolution
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Current community forecastNo 96.2%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleMar 20, 26, 2:44 AMJun 30, 26, 4:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes3.8%
No96.2%
96.2%
3.8%
Rules
This market resolves YES if Lynas Rare Earths' LAMP facility in Kuantan, Malaysia produced more than 3,500 tonnes of NdPr oxide in the January–March 2026 quarter, as reported in the company's ASX quarterly activities report.
- What is NdPr oxide? A mixed neodymium-praseodymium oxide — the key input for NdFeB permanent magnets used in EV motors and wind turbines.
- Lynas (ASX:LYC) is one of only two significant rare earth producers outside China.
- What quarter is measured? January–March 2026.
- Lynas reports quarterly production approximately 3–4 weeks after each quarter ends.
- This market settles June 30, 2026, giving well over a month after the Q1 2026 report is due for resolution.
