Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88.5%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMar 28, 24, 7:38 AM UTCMar 29, 54, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.
- If Jeff Bezos spends at least 31 days consecutively above the Karmen Line (100 km altitude), then this market resolves YES.
- If he dies before this happens, this market resolves NO.
- For purposes of this market, “Jeff Bezos” is only Jeffrey Preston Bezos, founder of Amazon.com, born on January 12, 1964.
- I will not bet in this market.
- Related markets: @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-day-in-oute @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-week-in-out @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-month-in-ou (this market) @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-year-in-out