Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 68.4%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJan 22, 26, 5:11 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will be the top 10 movies in the US in 2026 with the greatest opening weekend (FSS)?
Manifold MarketsRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWill the re-release of Avenger Endgame Surpass the box office of Supergirl?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
PolymarketWhat will be the top grossing movie in the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
PolymarketRules
This market resolves YES if i watch at least 100 movies throughout 2026, tracked by my Letterboxd profile (https://letterboxd.com/twofivesix/), more specifically, the 2026 diary (https://letterboxd.com/twofivesix/diary/for/2026/).
- Rewatches will count (though i dont do that often).
- I wont trade on this market.
Open markets
Box Office / StreamingKALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 5095%
- Above 55-7.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $362.1K
- 24h Vol
- $42.3K
POLYMARKETWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 155%
- Crew Girl: Season 134%
- The Gentlemen: Season 233%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $544.5
KALSHIDisney+ App Downloads in September
- Above 11945%
- Above 123+2.0pt37%
- Above 12929%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.2K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETHow many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- 6M+57%
- 8M+55%
- 12M+53%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $35
KALSHIWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $88.6K
- 24h Vol
- $52.9
KALSHIParamount+ App Downloads in September
- Above 7957%
- Above 82-1.0pt51%
- Above 8351%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.8K
- 24h Vol
- Will SHREK 5 be delayed?
- How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
- Who will be the next Bond girl?
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
- What will be the top grossing movie in the US in 2026?
- Will The Batman: Part II be delayed?
- Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?
- Will the re-release of Avenger Endgame Surpass the box office of Supergirl?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will i watch 100 movies this year??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 68% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will i watch 100 movies this year? resolve?
- Will i watch 100 movies this year? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will i watch 100 movies this year? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if i watch at least 100 movies throughout 2026, tracked by my Letterboxd profile (https://letterboxd.com/twofivesix/), more specifically, the 2026 diary (https://letterboxd.com/twofivesix/diary/for/2026/).