KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 119 45%-8.0ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$102
Liquidity
$5.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
50.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 31, 26, 9:00 PM UTCOct 8, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
ChatGPT App Downloads in September
KalshiInstacart App Downloads in September
KalshiESPN App Downloads in September
KalshiWill Disney+ shut down by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill "The Odyssey" gross >$1 billion worldwide?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Disney+ App Downloads was equal to the same month last year.
- Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Disney+ App Downloads in September?
- Kalshi prices Above 119 at 45% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Disney+ App Downloads in September resolve?
- Disney+ App Downloads in September is scheduled to resolve on October 8, 2026.
- How is Disney+ App Downloads in September settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome , then the market resolves to Yes.
