KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 90 · —
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Stored price
Above 110 81.5%Market line of 7 lines
Above 110 81.5%Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$0.2
Open interest
$6.5K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Above 90Spread
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Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 4:00 AM UTCNov 8, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 90
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 110 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Disney+ App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 90
- If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 90 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 75
- If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 75 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 95
- If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 95 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 100
- If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 100 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 105
- If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 105 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 110
- If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 110 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 135
- If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 135 , then the market resolves to Yes.
